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Nxstage Medical, Inc. Message Board

  • orangeandblack4 orangeandblack4 Aug 28, 2006 4:24 PM Flag

    Potential Catalysts

    I'm planning on holding NXTM for 4-5 years, unless something changes fundamentally.

    So I'm not that concerned with the short term stock price, but just for fun, does anyone have ideas about potential catalysts for the stock within the next 6 months?

    I've heard we will be getting some data from the Freedom trial. I'm expecting that trial to show a cost savings for Medicare patients on NxStage vs. in center dialysis. This will be a huge driver of stock price and adoption of the System 1.

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    • My wife has been on Nxtage for a little over a year and it has turned our life around completely, for the good that is! They are coming out with a machine to make the reverse ossmosses water in home and that will cut shipping costs a lot. We get 40 to 55 cases a month shipped here that won't have to be shipped when we get that machine, do the math, how many other people they can save money on with that machine, I saw one today at the center, and was told it will be about a month until we get one.I do not claim to be a stock market guru but I know how great these things work and has got to be a good stock to own, I have been watching them for a while and will get some real soon

      • 1 Reply to kimmy99_us
      • That is great that you and your wife have been helped by the System One. I think your point about NxStage having less expense after setting people up with the at home water treatment is a good one. I'm not a financial analyst either, but like you, I know the future for this product. Luckily the analysts at Merrill Lynch can delve in deeply to the company's finances. Merrill is very enthusiastic and thinks the company will make a profit by 2008. The finances are very solid and they have enough capital to achieve profitability. The management is very good. I think it will be bought out for a large premium or become a $2Billion market cap company by 2010. That's a 800% return from now. Investors in NxStage will have to be able to stomach lots of up and down volitility and not worry about the short term very much. Don't worry if you buy and it's down 10% for no reason. It also should be money you don't have to touch for 4 years for any reason. Great investment though, you might want to get in before earnings are announced at the end of October.

        Also, do you know roughly what percentage of patients are choosing to use NxStage at your wife's clinic? Thanks.

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