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Exelon Corporation Message Board

  • mooseonaplane mooseonaplane Oct 16, 2013 12:51 PM Flag

    $21 Price Target! Are You Kidding Me!?

    Earnings for the year would have to fall to around the $1.70 level for that to happen. And this is the same analyst who had an "overweight" when EXC was trading in mid 30s! Brilliant!

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    • Nat gas fired plants are cheaper to run than Exelon's nucs. No demand for their "high priced" electricity. Earnings going lower. See you in the teens.

      • 1 Reply to dnclark1947
      • Actually from an O&M and fuel standpoint nuclear is a lot cheaper then gas. After you refuel the fuel cost is less the $10 mw-hr. Their capital investment costs are much higher but many of exelons nuc's don't need capital investment. As a matter of fact right now coal is cheaper then natural gas. Problem with natural gas as seen recently since 2000 the price of NG can be very volatile. Some of these gas producers are losing money on shale gas right now. The large players like BP, Shell and Exxon are burying it. They are taking actions after leases to cut back production. This will cause the price of NG to rise. We are starting to see that now with gas around the $3.80 mark. Things keeping the price of power down is the bad economy, more energy efficient equipment & the continued deterioration of the United States manufacturing and industrial base. The use of coal in China and India for power plants and industrial plants is exploding. Their use of electric power also exploding.

        Sentiment: Buy

    • This utility has alot of negatives. When it was in the 80's and 60's, there were analyst saying to sell, they didn't like it, way over priced. Now with fundamentals very negative, there is at least a dozen, one of the biggest is the unfunded pension for all these overpaid utility workers. THIS IS HUGE. Look for more divy cuts to pay the pensions and don't forget the union cost of living increases and merit increases.

      This one could end up like Long Island Lighting, in single digits and BK reorganization to get out of union contracts, pensions and health-care.

    • Look at the timing. Right before options expiry. Hold for Long term - even if it goes 21, it will bounce back hard. At current earnings estimate anything less than 35 is cheap.

 
EXC
32.39+0.14(+0.43%)Aug 22 4:00 PMEDT

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