Chance of success? Even if it meets the quality of Iphones or androids (which I higly doubt because both of those phones had 5 years of revisions and research), it still take years for customer base to build up again. On the other hand, if it is a mediocre phone like Lumia Nok, then it will crash to $4-5 range. If it is a really bad phone, then you are looking at $2/shr trading range (that's 500% down!!!).
I bet my own blood, house, and all savings that this will selloff in Mid January like there is no tomorrow because large institutional holders will not risk competing to sell at a few bucks/sh after BB10 release. THEY WILL SELL BEFORE THE NEWS. Now they are pumping before the news.
Probably right that they will sell in Jan -Feb Whacked .....At a few bucks a share North of 25 back down to maybe 18-21...and what happens if Verizon starts encouraging their phones again....We already know where the stock is when no one is buying them--in US ....you will need a blood transfusion come March when they regain traction.