even if RIM gets 17% of its already consumers to upgrade onto the BB10 platform, that roughly is 10 billion in sales. If they can manage to hit even 5% of that market prior to March Q4 report, id expect great things.. they have no risk and great reward at this point in time.
Apple has become a stationary Tech company issuing the same products w/ new names - How long can that last? - BBM is offering them an email upgrade at a cost.. will they bite? most likely, but just like Apples consumers, the ego gets in the way of the bottom line.
On a side note, we all are entitled to an opinion, i respect yours, but i do not accept it as logical. Pipe dream perhaps?