Forget trying to figure out what way it will go, just write spreads. If you like it. buy the may 15 calls, and sell the 17's. if you hate it, short the 15 puts and buy the 13's mays.
good idea. but you put the way wrong for " if you hate it". it should be "but the 15 puts and sell the 13's mays."
buy the 15 puts and sell the 13's mays."