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Axcelis Technologies Inc. Message Board

  • gregjanetommax gregjanetommax Jun 14, 2013 5:08 PM Flag

    looking back then Looking Forward:more of the same once another dissapointing qtr

    Looking Forward: Analysts have a more negative outlook for the company’s next-quarter performance. Over the past three months, the average estimate for next quarter’s earnings has fallen from a loss of $0 to a loss $0.05. For the current year, the average estimate is a loss of $0.16, which is the same with that ninety days ago

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    • I did not find anywhere to confirm that "analysts have a more negative outlook ... next quarter."
      However this is what axcelis says:
      "The company expects to see
      improvement in market conditions in the second quarter of 2013 and currently
      projecting second quarter of 2013 revenues to be in the $45 million to $50 million
      range. The company expects that the sequential increase will come primarily
      from system sales. Gross margins are projected to be in the mid-30% range.
      Operating expenses should be essentially unchanged from the first quarter,
      excluding an $800,000 payment that received from Lam in April. As a result of
      these factors, the company expects loss of approximately $0.03 to $0.05 per
      share. The company remains optimistic that it will see a recovery in the second
      half of 2013 and that it will return to profitability and positive cash generation.
      "
      If they report above $50M then this will be a positive surprise. If they report $60M then there will be a small profit. Chance of that is not good. I think that they will report close to upper range revenue of $50M and a loss of 2-3 cents because Purion is gaining getting some traction. What will be most important will be the Q3 guidance. If the guidance is good then the stock will move above $2.

      • 1 Reply to joshua1779
      • eps of a 0 is expecting no loss or gain, later the analysts have looked on more recent information and adjust eps to -.05. That is a huge move on the down side. the -.03 was an interim adjustment downward. So what transpired investors bought into the .00 then realized they been had again. Many of us have been here awhile, burned a few times.

 
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