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Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. Message Board

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  • skiidady skiidady Dec 5, 2009 2:08 AM Flag

    Monday Earnings: Good, Bad or Ugly?

    You got some serious smoke there boy! Try 85 mil revenues and break even due to book cookin'. Watch how much debt cushion they have before violating debt covenants. It ain't nothin' nice.

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    • To me, KKD looks like is hitting on all 8 cylinders. Stock is at $3.35. Yet the # of franchisees they’re signing up is impressive. The franchisee in AZ has expanded to 9 outlets vs. the last franchisee there that went out of busines a few years ago. KKD just announced a deal for 20 franchise Krispy Kreme retail shops in Thailand. I like the fact that KKD is doing a lot more traditional franchising; which is more of fee-based business with less risk. Plus, KKD should soon be solidly profitable; they got rid of their hydrogenated fats; and they have one of the most appealing names in the industry.

      In summary, with stock under $3.50; locations and growing again; growing revenues; coming very close to breakeven on a gaap basis; emphasis on their “small retal concept;” rolling out new products such as wrapped snack products w/ longer shelf lives - total of 548 locations - $19.6 mill of cash - 67.4 mill shs o/s dilluted; I think the stock is a “strong buy” and easily $7.50 to $10 if Wendy’s or someone wants to buy them out.

 
KKD
19.85-0.04(-0.20%)Dec 24 1:02 PMEST

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