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Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. Message Board

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  • glsierra glsierra Aug 19, 2011 1:40 AM Flag

    95 rev and 5 mil profit

    i think the revs will be a tad higher. i bet they beat the estimate by 3-5 cents at a minimum.

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    • My 96 number was a little conservative for me, but I feel it's probably a pretty good estimate. Q1 was almost 14% revenue growth yoy, and analysts have Q2 at 5% yoy growth or 92.2 million. That sort of sequential drop off seems almost impossible. 96 million puts the yoy growth rate at 9%, which I feel is a fair and conservative number. I wouldn't be surprised to see a 98, but would be very surprised to see triple digit revenues.

      The most important thing is the guidance. I really hope that management doesn't fall into the trap of being overly cautious on the conference call because of the recent market swoon. They left full year guidance unchanged after last quarters blowout, and to do so again after beating by .03-.05 would be disastrous for the stock price.

      A good quarter would be .09 on 96 million, raising the full year guidance range for income by about 2 million. Anything less than that and we could get crushed by this market which is showing no mercy to a lot of good stocks.

      The coffee initiative is also extremely important, but they wont have any results to report from that yet.

 
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