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Heritage Bankshares Inc. Message Board

  • barkingdog78 barkingdog78 Nov 18, 2012 7:29 AM Flag

    No choice: Grow or sell

    "While there will be some innovative outliers with highly focused and specialized business models and some of the smallest banks will achieve sufficiently rapid growth, those that don't will languish and eventually fail or sell for a low multiple of book value. It is far better for the shareholders of such institutions if the boards have the insight to trade their moribund small company shares for those of a larger, better capitalized and rapidly growing community or regional bank. By doing so they can ride with a winner, enjoying the benefits of both an increased rate of growth and potentially expanding the P/E multiple."

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    • A niche you can grow is where you have some specialized knowledge in an industry: e.g., Silicon Valley Bankshares or a bank in Nashville that specializes in country music stars.

      "Business banking" isn't a niche ... that's just banking.

    • You don't see growth in the plans do you? So sale looks more likely. I don't really see going with another community bank. It's unlikely there is one solid enough - or with liquid stock. (Don't stick us with TOWN shares.) You need an acquirer with size - but they aren't going to be interested in a tiny bank. It's not worth their due diligence cost. So the pool of potential acquirers would seem rather small. Another reason to move sooner rather than later.

15.50-0.21(-1.34%)Oct 6 9:46 AMEDT