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Triad Guaranty Inc. Message Board

  • oboh1984 oboh1984 Oct 11, 2007 9:57 AM Flag

    Definately covered my short too soon...

    As expected the MI guys are in a world of trouble.....THEY have ENORMOUS RISK.......... 100x's more than builders....

    Todays News is NOT good for you Perma Bulls.....As they say in the Black Rose..Unless you know what you dont know the RISK is TOO GREAT!!!!

    Should home prices decline much more- as expected- then the value of the home will be less than the note held ( which are insured by TGIC MTG etc etc) thus the RUB......

    Last Post ...... watch out for Earnings expect the 91% of Institution to SELL and for TGIC to FALL HARD.....

    Caution To ALL//

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    • yeah look at that vol-alot of conviction or are mms taking out stops

      • 1 Reply to avlamal
      • I must apologize the board.....I just wanted TGIC to be a set it and forget it trade ..... But she wants me to work for it....... As a former BIG BEAR of realestate/mortage related companies I NOW want to go BEAR HUNTING but only Contrarian Bet working is Housing.......

        TGIC may do some squeezing but I have yet to feel comfortable to hold postion over night...

        50 short MUST be SQUEEEZED just like the MARKET BEARS have been since the July Lows.....We are going to 1800 on S&P so even TGIC should atleast retest 22-24 level!!!!

0.185+0.025(+15.63%)Jul 22 1:13 PMEDT

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