Vegas still has Obama as the odds on favorite to win. Given that I don't see employment or the economy doing well in the next 12 months, I want to take the other side of the bet. Plus do you think there is more of a chance of a positive catalyst or negative catalyst? Obama to divide or unite more people?
The RNC would want to nominate the more conservative Perry but Romney would beat Obama much easier. I actually think Newt would beat Obama easier than Perry as well.