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Pfizer Inc. Message Board

  • chrttwelve chrttwelve Jul 18, 2010 3:07 PM Flag

    Weekly update on how my Pfizer investment is performing

    11/17/04 - $100,000 ($27.99) Inception of $100,000 investment
    12/16/04 - $109,000 ($28.98) Last close this high
    12/17/04 - $078,000 ($25.75 ) Adverse Celebrex test
    06/23/05 - $134,000 ($28.90) 2005 closing high
    12/09/05 - $031,605 ($20.60) 2005 closing low
    12/31/05 - $067,335 ($23.32) Year-end 2005 close
    07/17/06 - $044,500 ($22.41) 2006 closing low
    09/20/06 - $182,000 ($28.47) 2006 closing high
    12/04/06 - $098,985 ($24.90) Torcetrapib failure
    12/29/06 - $128,925 ($25.90) Year-end 2006 close
    01/19/07 - $181,000 ($27.22) Interim recovery high
    06/01/07 - $196,065 ($27.68) 2007 closing high
    08/16/07 - $069,210 ($23.39) Interim bottom for subprime slime
    10/05/07 - $138,925 ($25.58) Top of the market
    11/26/07 - $027,895 ($22.30) Closing low for 2007
    12/31/07 - $037,845 ($22.73) Year-end 2007 close
    01/10/08 - $079,945 ($24.08) 2008 closing high
    06/02/08 - ($78,995) $19.18) Shocking WSJ article AH
    08/15/08 - ($49,945) ($19.97) Interim high
    10/10/08 - (142,345) ($15.14) 10-session S & P crash of 25.9%
    11/04/08 - ($65,755) ($18.14) 6-session S & P surge of 18.5%
    11/20/08 - (154,230) ($14.45) Lowest close since Apr. 1997
    12/31/08 - ($53,340) ($17.71) Year-end 2008 close
    01/23/09 - ($60,750) ($17.45) WYE talks disclosed
    01/30/09 - (148,350) ($14.58) 16.4% plunge in a week following dividend cut
    03/02/09 - (232,995) ($11.66) Lowest close since 8/1/96
    03/06/09 - (200,050) ($12.73) $1M Mulligan begins at close
    07/27/09 - ($49,555) ($16.62) PFE up 17.0% in 11 sessions. RSI 74.6
    10/14/09 - ($02,730) ($17.37) Final regulatory approval for WYE deal
    12/01/09 - 043,090 - ($18.85) Closing high for 2009
    12/08/09 - 020,220 - ($17.76) Last reaction low close - RSI 46.7
    12/31/09 - 043,175 - ($18.19) Year-end 2009 close

    01/19 - 093,230 - ($20.00) 2010 Closing high to date. RSI 73.7
    01/20 - 094,670 - ($19.94) 2010 valuation high. Visine Minute seen
    01/29 - 063,310 - ($18.66) Dow loses 658 points in 8 sessions
    02/02 - 086,145 - ($19.24) Session prior to earnings and dividend
    02/03 - 068,115 - ($18.62) Earnings disappoint analysts, 18-cent ex-dividend
    03/02 - 034,930 - ($17.60) Session prior to Dimebon failure
    03/19 - 003,880 - ($16.91) RSI 34.0
    03/24 - 038,780 - ($17.61) Top of the three-session Obamacare passage rally
    04/22 ($22,155) - ($16.48) RSI 30.4
    04/23 - 002,060 - ($16.91) MRK pre-announces effect of Obamacare
    04/27 ($26,580)- ($16.46) RSI 31.4
    05/03 - 004,115 - ($16.91) Session prior to earnings
    05/04 - 020,735 - ($17.26) Earnings beat by 7 cents
    05/05 - 023,690 - ($17.18) Ex-dividend 18 cents; RSI 58.6
    05/07 ($16,760) - ($16.46) European sovereign debt fears in PIIGS countries
    05/11 - 017,405 - ($17.01) Top of European rescue rally
    05/20 ($80,835) - ($15.23) RSI 28.7, low closing reading of year
    06/04 (114,635) - ($14.76) Poor jobs data, euro below $1.20
    06/09 (127,015) - ($14.52) RSI 29.1
    06/10 (107,875) - ($14.91) Chinese government supports euro
    06/11 ($76,225) - ($15.46) Highly-successful Phase 3 Apixaban tests
    06/15 ($73,310) - ($15.52) Interim top, RSI 50.6
    06/23 (106,335) - ($14.88) Session before Tanezumab failure
    06/24 (129,265) - ($14.46) Tanezumab failure
    07/02 (147,420) - ($14.14) 2010 Closing low. RSI 31.1
    07/09 (113,855) - ($14.77) Dow up 512 in four sessions
    07/12 (104,545) - ($14.93) Top of the rally for Pfizer. RSI 51.2
    07/16 (124,330) - ($14.56)


    Breakeven is now $18.25 at year-end.. Every point between $17.50 and $25 means at least 54.9K over time.

    My ultimate goal is to be able to cash out Pfizer options for a million dollars by Inauguration Day 2013. A $29 stock price would likely enable me to do just that. A $25 stock price would mean a cashout of about 800K and a mere $20 stock price still means a cashout of about 520K net of naked puts.

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