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Too early to be that precise. Almost anything could happen before the elections.Israel might nuke Iran.But I agree the Senate is at risk. I'd say GOP will pick up 50 to 60 House seats & eight to ten in the Senate. If nine, then Nelson of Nebraska is liable to switch.
Lieberman is more likely to switch than Nelson. After all, he was a prominent speaker at the 2008 GOP convention. Nelson hasn't gone anywhere near that far.
Of course now that I've taken time to read what experts are saying, I see that as always about everything, but especially number, history & politics, I am as wrong as wrong can be.Nelson is up for reelection in 2012, I just learned, & cannot possibly win as a Democrat, so either he'll retire or switch parties, which after all would be the best thing for Nebraska.Lieberman on the other hand, isn't up again until 2014 & may retire. But it would be virtually impossible for him to be elected as a Republican in CT, if he chooses to run again.