"A second term for Barack Obama is beginning to feel inevitable. It's not impossible for Mitt Romney to win but he needs a dramatic reversal .... a huge error by Obama in one of the three debates or more bad economic news that either keeps many Democrats home or moves undecided voters toward the GOP.
We give Obama 21 states and Washington, D.C. for 269 electoral votes. For Romney, 24 states putting 206 electoral votes in the GOP column. Five states with 63 electoral votes are tossups - FLA, VA, Colo, Nev and Iowa. Obama won them all in 2008 and momentum seems to be moving his way in several including the big prize, Florida. If Obama wins there, it could be an electoral college rout.".