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Pfizer Inc. Message Board

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  • zazbillyt zazbillyt Oct 14, 2012 12:08 AM Flag

    Since Alan crowed about Obama's assumed 251 EVs on the RCP map, that number has dropped

    No way does Romney win nationally by 1-4 percentage points & not win enough electoral votes:

    Poll Date Sample MoE Romney (R) Obama (D) Spread
    RCP Average 10/4 - 10/12 -- -- 47.3 46.0 Romney +1.3
    Rasmussen Tracking 10/10 - 10/12 1500 LV 3.0 49 48 Romney +1
    IBD/TIPP Tracking 10/7 - 10/12 804 LV 3.5 46 46 Tie
    Gallup Tracking 10/6 - 10/12 2700 LV 2.0 49 47 Romney +2
    Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun 10/8 - 10/10 1360 LV 2.7 47 46 Romney +1
    FOX News 10/7 - 10/9 1109 LV 3.0 46 45 Romney +1
    Pew Research 10/4 - 10/7 1112 LV 3.4 49 45 Romney +4
    WashTimes/JZ Analytics* 10/5 - 10/7 800 LV 3.5 45 45 Tie

    Why should any polls but October count? Indeed only polls taken after the first debate are meaningful.

 
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