But you now allow that Romney has a chance of winning OH. He can win without OH, but Obama can't.
The arithmetic is exactly the same as your betters taught you all those months ago. The McCain states plus IN, NC, FL, VA, OH & any other state give Romney the White House. He can win without OH by gaining WI & various combos of NV, CO, IA or NH, plus or all four of those without WI.
But he's gaining in both OH & WI, plus MI & PA, although farther back. Romney is statistically tied in OH & WI polls at the moment.