Fri, Oct 31, 2014, 5:22 AM EDT - U.S. Markets open in 4 hrs 8 mins

Recent

% | $
Quotes you view appear here for quick access.

Pfizer Inc. Message Board

  • fizrwinnr11 fizrwinnr11 Jul 20, 2013 12:41 PM Flag

    Updating the 300K BIDU portfolio

    03/25 - transfer in 300,000 from the Pfizer portfolio. BIDU stock is at $84.85, S & P 500 is 1,557

    03/25 - 302,740 - ($85.33) RSI 35.0
    04/02 - 323,085 - ($88.12) RSI 46.6
    04/05 - 293,125 - ($83.59) RSI 34.8, lowest stock close and valuation from inception
    04/12 - 337,805 - ($90.62) RSI 56.9
    04/22 - 306,925 - ($85.66) RSI 42.2
    04/25 - 349,725 - ($92.34) RSI 60.2
    04/26 - 305,205 - ($85.02) RSI 44.2, Q1-13 earnings and 2013 outlook disappoint
    05/03 - 300,285 - ($84.51) RSI 43.5
    06/10 - 428,205 - (102.99) RSI 66.9
    06/24 - 352,765 - ($89.89) RSI 37.8
    06/28 - 382,900 - ($94.60) RSI 49.3
    07/03 - 351,125 - ($89.22) RSI 38.5
    07/12 - 387,575 - ($96.85) RSI 56.7
    07/18 - 455,310 - (111.20) RSI 75.2, highest stock close and valuation from inception
    07/19 - 446,570 - (111.08) RSI 74.9


    Up 48.9%. Portfolio gain to date
    Up 30.9%. BIDU stock from inception

    Up 08.7%. S & P 500 from inception of investment (1,557 to 1,692)


    Note: This is one of the fastest-growing companies its size in the world but with a sharp one-year slowdown in 2013 due to massive R & D expenses this year. The recent earnings history and downwardly-revised consensus expectations for this dominant Chinese search engine are as follows:

    $1.53 in 2010 (actual)
    $3.02 in 2011 (actual)
    $4.79 in 2012 (actual)
    $4.97 in 2013 (consensus - 04% expected annual growth)
    $6.28 in 2014 (consensus - 26% expected annual growth)
    $7.40 in 2015 (consensus - 18% expected annual growth)

    The leverage factor for this investment is around 2. Over time, each point higher in the stock will be worth $8,300.

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
    • Is THAT what you call an investor who has earned $160,500 or 53.5% in just four months on a 300K investment - a loser? We should all be such losers.

      Yes - BIDU has gotten away from me on the upside; I sure wasn't expected a parabolic move of 39% on a closing basis in just 13 trading sessions.

      But while obviously I could have made even more had I not decided to sell covered calls, I'm still not through making money on BIDU. When the stock inevitably gives back some of the monumental gain, I'll be rolling for free or for a credit the Aug. 105-strikes that I'm currently short to something like the March 115-strikes. Later on, those will in turn be rolled to something like the 130-strikes expiring in Jan. 2015.

      If the stock is $130 or more in 18 months, I'll cash out about 85 units at $800 per unit (long the 50-strikes and short the 130's). Having received already about 20K in covered call premiums, the original 300K investment will have turned into 700K over the 22-month holding period between late March 2013 and the third Griday of January 2015.

      By the way, are you aware that my combined portfolios are currently sporting a gain of 38.1% for 2013 to date (S & P up by 18.6%). I'm well on my way to earning and overall return in the 50's or 60's this year after having posted combined porttfolio gains of 58% in 2011's flat market and then 42% last year.

      Who besides me is capable of posting three consecutive years of such returns? NOBODY else does that. Move over the likes of Paulson and Miller because you are playing hind tit to THE VERY BEST PERCENTAGE WEALTH CREATOR in the land. That of course would be ME!

    • fredrickson.loceng@gmail.com fredrickson.loceng Jul 20, 2013 1:01 PM Flag

      Advertise your brokerage services again.

      • 1 Reply to fredrickson.loceng
      • I am not a broker and so I cannot advertise "brokerage services." What I am is an options advisor nonpareil and I consider myself to be the very best percentage wealth creator in the land for those having between 5K and 2M to invest. Within 180 days I'll be registered with the State of California and I'll have brokers at TD Ameritrade who will likely want to advertise my services.

        The brass at TD Ameritrade can see for themselves the incredible record that I have had since my amazing Eureka moment 23 months ago and they want me to become registered and to move the accounts to their Institutional section where they can advertise my services.

 
PFE
29.84+0.35(+1.19%)Oct 30 4:00 PMEDT

Trending Tickers

i
Trending Tickers features significant U.S. stocks showing the most dramatic increase in user interest in Yahoo Finance in the previous hour over historic norms. The list is limited to those equities which trade at least 100,000 shares on an average day and have a market cap of more than $300 million.
Groupon, Inc.
NasdaqGSThu, Oct 30, 2014 4:00 PM EDT
Flextronics International Ltd.
NasdaqGSThu, Oct 30, 2014 4:00 PM EDT