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Ancestry.com Inc. Message Board

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  • tery30938 tery30938 Nov 20, 2012 3:41 PM Flag

    Opinion Poll: Chance of Deal Voted Down

    There is virtually zero chance this does not get voted through (given holdings by Spectrum, mgmt etc.) There is a very small chance the deal does not go through due to "adverse market condition"...(i.e. if the Dow drops 2,000 points) as there is usually a whole series of these kinds of clauses to protect someone from having to go through with a deal they might be able to get at 20% less if the market falls apart. The other microscopic chance would be if something turned out to be amiss at the company and was discovered or if the company's next Q showed a "material adverse change." That is why most people are selling at $31.30-$31.50 the past week. Take the sure money and avoid higher tax on gain in 2013 and invest in something that might go higher, whereas this is truly "dead money." $.50 upside and IF the deal should crater for any reason $4+ downside.

 

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