I will give you my educated reason, the stock is up almost 20% in 2 weeks. The market is running out of steam, and any bad news is going to crash the market, the same way that slightly good news has sent it on a rocket ship. That is the environment that we are in right now, it doesn't mean it has to happen, but there is a very distinct possibility that it could. $20 is a bit low, but I could see this thing dumping 10 percent in 2 days, heck I have seen it before, recently.
it was almost under 20 two weeks ago. I disagree though, I see 22.50 - 21.50 range on a healthy pullback. Perhaps with a big pullback in the broader markets this thing could go down to below 20. I refuse to hold any position long or short overnight at this point, lots of indecision and big overnight gaps, can't do it right now.