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IMPAC MTG HLDGS INC Message Board

  • huckstercrusher huckstercrusher Jan 24, 2006 2:30 PM Flag

    Anyone rational here?

     

    That would care to state good reasons for not buying this stock. I am of the opinion that the federal reserve is almost done with the rate hikes. I also think that the upward potential is great here. Just because this has been punished to a greater extent than other companies in the sector. There was a dividend cut, but it was not as drastic as some that have held up beter pricewise. Someone besides that arksmith respond. He seems to be deranged.

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    • >>Right now a person can not tell where the bottom is with IMH, without a turn the bottom could just as easily be zero as $8, $6, $4.<<

      Tell you what, if it gets to zero I'm buying every share there is :).

    • It can go up 25% to get back to 10.50. I think I can figure that out in time.

    • My point is that without a bottom and turn, the lows could be anywhere in between zero and current prices and with the complications facing IMH, there is no way of know where the bottom really is. For this company, IMO, it is much more than a simple matter of the timing of a Fed. pause. The suggestion from someone was, why buy here, when the lows are probably still ahead. I think that attitude is closer to correct than the one that says, "buy now or you may miss the bottom."

    • zero? not quite

    • so far

    • Chartists never buy until an issue hits bottom then turns higher. They never hit the exact bottom but when they buy, there are pretty solid signs that the stock has changed direction to a relatively permanent higher level. Right now a person can not tell where the bottom is with IMH, without a turn the bottom could just as easily be zero as $8, $6, $4. In the absence of the formation of a solid base and turn, any entry a person picks is a wild ass guess. For any stock there are macroeconomic factors, sector specific factors, there are company specific factors, and then there are extraneous market related factors which determine price. Several investors here seem to be placing their bet on one macro factor, fed. rates, and IMO, that is a pretty simplistic model or decision basis for IMH. The the company has issues accross the gamut that will affect their business performance and their stock performance in the future. As stated before, for me, this issue will remain in the gambling pile. It may give a huge rebound, a homerun, but there is not way of predicting that.

    • <the mkt will anticipate, however. If you wait, you will miss.>

      Many people have been singing that song since 10.50. So far my version is ahead.

    • the mkt will anticipate, however. If you wait, you will miss.

    • <w/ last rate hike by FED in sight and IMH trading at a low, this IS when you should buy. This entire sector has been out of favor and that's about to change. Don't be surprised if FED lowers by the end of the year>

      I DO expect a rate decrease by YE06 and have posted that. IMO, it doesn't matter that the sector will change from out of favor, but when it starts making money. That won't start when the Fed stops. The reason I'm not in is because I expect further downside.

    • w/ last rate hike by FED in sight and IMH trading at a low, this IS when you should buy. This entire sector has been out of favor and that's about to change. Don't be surprised if FED lowers by the end of the year.

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