Deckers Outdoor Corp. Message Board

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  • h08859 h08859 • Feb 17, 2011 11:53 AM Flag

    timberland blew out numbers -- deck will crush them

    VERY insightful....but did you say if price runs up pre-earnings it is relatively safer??? but isn't the opposite true?? a la AAPL and NKE into earnings...PLEASE clarify....and I totally agree about the GROWTH PROJECTION and most importantly guidance..thx....

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    • toothtoothtooth toothtoothtooth • Feb 17, 2011 12:12 PM Flag

      ok.

      I said the higher the stock runs before earnings, the more it is priced to perfection.

      Example.

      If a stock is $50 and it moves to $55 before earnings and earnings come out and it should be a $60 stock based on forecasts in the future...its going to move up quickly after earnings. It WAS NOT priced to perfection before the earnings were released.

      If a stock is $50 and it moves to $75 going into earnings....and earnings says based on forecasts it should be $73...its going to sell off hard. IT WAS priced to perfection, meaning it had to crush every metric to make its $75 value a true reflection of worth.

      If DECK is a $100 stock and we are sitting at $88...then its going to run...if its a $100 stock and we are at $100...then it CANT MISS ANY metric, or it sells of hard.

 
DECK
53.71-1.14(-2.08%)May 23 4:00 PMEDT