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T-Mobile US, Inc. Message Board

  • eastofeden73 eastofeden73 Dec 17, 2013 7:53 AM Flag

    Odds on Sprint-Tmobile merger getting antitrust approval?

    Seems like a 50-50 chance from what I've been reading.

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    • At least one firm thinks it's 66/33. See below:

      Firm sees greater chance T-Mobile, Sprint tie-up would be approved
      After meeting with T-Mobile's (TMUS) management, Oppenheimer believes there is a two-thirds chance that a hypothetical merger between that company and Sprint (S) would be approved. Previously the firm had thought there was a 50/50 chance that such a merger would be approved by regulators. WHAT'S NEW: There is now a two-thirds chance that a merger between T-Mobile and Sprint would be approved, wrote Oppenheimer analyst Timothy Horan. T-Mobile appears ready to make the concessions necessary to receive regulatory approval for such a deal, the analyst reported. Moreover, T-Mobile management continues to believe that only by merging with Sprint can it compete more effectively with AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ) over the long-term, according to the analyst. Horan predicts that T-Mobile will report strong fourth quarter results and he expects the company's current investments and service plan innovations to continue to pay off over the next few years. The analyst kept a $31 price target and Outperform rating on the stock. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Last week, Reuters reported that DISH (DISH) was weighing a bid for T-Mobile and could make an offer next year. Also considering a bid for T-Mobile is Japanese telecom company Softbank (SFTBF), Bloomberg reported last week. Note that Softbank is the majority owner of Sprint after a deal consummated by the two earlier this year. PRICE ACTION: In mid-morning trading, T-Mobile gained 1% to $31.32, while Sprint fell nearly 2% to $9.69.

      Sentiment: Hold

    • i think its less than that. a merger would not allow for enough competition in this sector.

    • T-Mobile is like the weakest animal at the back of the back, they will get bought by someone, whether it be Sprint, DISH, Telefonica, or XYZ company... it's just a matter of time

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