That these guys are somehow able to generate stability over the next 12 mos.
BREAKEVEN POINT They need ~11 million in revenue every 90 days
P/E RATIO OF 20 (extremely high right now): They need ~15 million in revenue every 90 days
P/E RATIO OF 10 (industry avg. currently): They need ~ 18 million in revenue every 90 days
Their most recently posted revenue: a lousy $70,000
To breakeven they need to increase that revenue 157 times! Yes that is 15,700%
To have a P/E ratio of 10 (industry standard) they need to increase that revenue 257 times! 25,700%
Number of outstanding shares has gone up 40% in the last 3 years, 12% this year alone. Assuming they release another 12% for 2009, they will have 78,400,000 number of outstanding shares at the end of 2009. You don't even want to know what that does to these figures.
Thanks for spending much of your time and effort to inform us of how bad of an investment Novavax is and telling us to sell all our shares so that we do not lose any money. Very sweet of you to do all this and yet you get nothing in return.
We can see that you have our best interest at heart;-)
in other words, IF nvax runs its business in the future according to your plan, it will run into a wall. however, we have no control over how the clinical studies eventually fare. it can be as bad as you envision or as good as some believers would like to think.
i find viewpoints from extremist longs and extremist shorts equally immature because in reality things work out differently.
I am neither long nor short. I think technically plotting this stocks chart short term yields the potential for this stock to hit 1.40-1.50. A short position is currently equally disturbing as a long position.
Agreed with your statement - there are many things we do not know. For obvious reason - investment decision should not be made on false hopes rather factual historical data which is represented in the ability of a company and management to execute. In that regard - NVAX fails miserably.
All I am pointing out - is the obvious statement - these guys need to begin selling some products! Constant investments and deals with no revenue is a temporary survival tactic that can't continue forever.