The future of this company
As an automotive industry participant, and person very close to the company, Tenneco investors should be aware of the following:
1. The recent combination of the Walker, and Monroe field sales forces has destroyed the recognized strongest field sales force in the industry, with many many key players being forced out, or choosing to leave in the process.
2. The demographics of the replacement market are horrible, people are not repairing cars (when is the last time you bought a pair of shock absorbers). Sure, they have great market share, but of a declining market. Replacement rate has gone down EVERY year for some time now. This is not a growth segment of the market.
3. The comments of Cramer (thestreet.com)notwithstanding about Dana Mead,the management team he put together is rife with
cronyism, and poor 1960 style managers who manage through intimidation. This is particularly evident in certain groups such as
automotive (can't comment on packaging, but note other comments on the board). There have been many internal comments about spinning
off automotive, if an appropriate aquisition can't be found. They are know to be looking for a brake company after failing in
the brake market with their own startup (Brakepro).
4. The automotive group, to meet their Q4 sales projections had to pull forward 1988 volume with heavy dating on sales. The industry just can't believe what they have done.
I sold my position some time ago, and do not wish to trade this stock so I am clean on "doing this for my own ends", but hopefully those of you who do, can find some value in these comments. Sorry about the length.
MADM002