The Alpha story is poorly research so I find it unhelpful. I believe RSO is going to cross $6 at some point in the year and may hit $6.50. If we're lucky it will hit $7, but I wouldn't hold my breath. The dividend will be $.25 and may increase in the year. I believe it is pretty safe at $.25 a quarter.
Any of that can change is there is a general market collapse caused by an environmental or political disaster (earthquake, tsunami, government borrowing deadlock, etc.).