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Sprint Corporation Message Board

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  • jfurlongus jfurlongus Oct 28, 2004 11:08 AM Flag

    Sears a growth stock in 2005?

    New stores when fully open are expected to do 20M in revenue. 60 stores is 1.2B or 3% more than current sales. Most of these stores won't open until Q4 next year so they will not be open the whole year. Sales at the current full line stores are decreasing by over 3%. No growth for Sears next year. Lower margins, lower sales and higher overhead means lower EPS. Even Sears has said they expect the acquisition to be dilutive to earnings next year. 60 stores is not growth when you have 2000 locations where sales are declining.

    Let's see... Estimates being lowered is a good thing? Easy comparisons for SSS is a good thing? They have had 4 consecutive years of negative SSS that means they have had three consecutive years of easy comparisons and still have not been able to increase sales over the previous year.

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    • Sears is already a 40 percent annual growth stock. And it is the best type of growth - buyback growth where you don't have to pay income taxes with it. Much better than actual revenue growth. Also S has the best price to sales ratio of any retailer. Thus $1 of investment will buy you $6 in sales. Compare that to $0.88 for Wmrt or $0.56 for kohls.

      Thus with S you get 6X-10X the sales and 40 percent growth. You can stick your wmrt and kohl shares up your ###$@@.

      I can write a little since I bought a tiny bit today.

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