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E-House (China) Holdings Limited Message Board

  • ksn_44 ksn_44 May 28, 2008 12:01 AM Flag

    Quake effect

    Read about your brilliant company dissing the quake effect on housing while everyone else it may help. Are these people nuts????

    Quake to hurt local property market
    By Hu Yuanyuan (China Daily)
    Updated: 2008-05-28 09:23 The May 12 earthquake could cripple Sichuan province's property market in the short term by dampening consumers' will to buy and reducing investment-oriented purchases, industry experts said.

    BrilliantStone, a Beijing-headquartered real estate research and advisory firm, said the "psychological shadow" hanging over the economic losses in Sichuan and Chongqing could diminish enthusiasm for purchasing property in the area.

    Yang Hongxu, deputy director of Shanghai-based E-house Real Estate Research Institution, said the quake would also largely reduce investment-oriented purchases in quake-affected areas, putting greater pressure on property prices in the region.

    But Bohai Securities analyst Zhou Hu said the quake's impact on Sichuan's property market would be limited.

    Most leading property developers only have projects in the provincial capital Chengdu, and few have projects in the nearby counties most devastated by the quake, Zhou said.

    In addition, these counties - Wenchuan, Maoxian, Beichuan, Qingchuan and Dujiangyan - haven't traditionally been hives of market demand in the region, he added.

    "So while the earthquake would weigh on property sales in Sichuan and Chongqing in the short term, it's unlikely it would hex these markets in the long run," Zhou said.

    Some insiders believe the quake would instead boost housing demand, because so many homes were destroyed in the disaster.

    Tremors felt

    Chengdu is a bridgehead for national real estate companies' expansions into Southwest China, and most firms have been scrambling to snap up land parcels in the provincial capital. However, the earthquake also affected their business in the city.

    An Orient Securities report said that among listed property developers, Vanke will be most affected by the quake, because it has numerous projects in Chengdu.

    "Vanke has seven projects under construction in Chengdu this year, with completed acreage expected to exceed 600,000 sq m. So far, more than 200,000 sq m have been sold, but the sales process would slow, and the price would also drop," the report said.

    R&F Properties President Zhang Li told media earlier the earthquake could shave 100 million yuan ($14.38 million) to 200 million yuan off the company's business but wouldn't change its 24 billion yuan sales target this year.

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    • Sounds like they are dissing properties in outlying regions where they don't have properties. Remember, EJ is a Shanghai-based company.

      • 1 Reply to maxschmit777
      • EJ doesn't even do business in Sichuan province; they're based out of Shanghai and do business in Shanghai, Hongzhou, Macau, Hong Kong and Wuhan. Long long way people from Sichuan province. What the article in the China Daily is alluding to (and I'm currently living/working in Jinan in the Shandong Province and read the article here) is that the property market in Chengdu (capital of Sichuan province) and Chongqing, both very very large cities (Chongqing is at 35+ million in 2 counties and Chengdu at 10 million) will suffer from the earthquake simply because of nervousness of investors to building for fear of future losses from another earthquake. Pretty smart thinking I think. We in the U.S. on the other hand, suffer these devastating losses like Katrina in New Orleans where we have a city built below water level, cities built in the middle of tornado paths and hurricanes, and what do we do?? Spend BILLIONS to rebuild the cities only to go through the same damn thing down the road again in area just rebuilt. I think it is probably rather intelligent thinking on investors here to think twice about putting money into an earthquake prone area.

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