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EXCEL MARITIME CARR Message Board

  • h5n1eric h5n1eric Feb 6, 2012 6:13 PM Flag

    here...take the worst case scenario >>>

    Say you have 12 shipping stocks...and say 6 go "BK"....

    And say, the 6 survivors eventually go up only 300% from the current prices...given that they've come off the bottom a bit...(and remember, the REITS went up 500-1,000% off their bottoms, in many cases).

    So, you pair up.... the 6 , 100% losers... with the 6, 300% winners...and net 200% gains on the combined money...200%...That's the minimum I see....and no, I don't see 1/2 of the shipping companies failing - but for the ultra negative types, I'll give em' 6 BK's

    I was amazed at the REIT play back in 2009...a GENERATIONAL play, with 500-1,000% gains off the bottom....and I never felt I'd see a similar play develop, until I saw what was occurring with the shippers...the same darned thing...they blew it...they ordered too many ships at exactly the wrong time, and set up another 'REIT" play...on water....

    IT'S A GIFT...IT'S A GIFT (and anyone who is fortunate enough to 'get the concept', I congratulate you...and your future success...Because you'll NEVER, EVER see this type of event again, IN YOUR LIFETIME...)