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Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Message Board

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  • thirdmeinvestor thirdmeinvestor Oct 30, 2011 3:42 PM Flag

    Star Analysts

    About two to three weeks ago BM had a target price of 53 and noted the value of VX-509. But, like the rest of analysts they think that the short term outlook depended on the trajectory of Incivek sales. Analysts' calls are often influenced by share price movements rather than the other way around. MB is still better than the average analyst in the field of hcv space.

    No analyst talks about the commercial value of 809 or 661. It is perhaps too speculative for them to attach a value to them. But if you look at the data for the phase II trial for 809+770 to be presented at the Anaheim meeting, there appears to be a small effect on FEV1 improvement. Because the measurement of FEV1 depends on the compliance of patients to the measurement procedure, the signal can be easily washed away by the noise. With the newly improved trial design(see Verity's post) with a larger patient pool we should see a good signal this time.

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