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Fibrocell Science, Inc. Message Board

  • torywhite2002 torywhite2002 Feb 16, 2012 12:17 PM Flag

    Stock price is mystifying because....

    1) Aesthetic Treatment: If each of the estimated 1.5 million current women were treated for one of the potential new areas > $3 billion market;
    2) Each 5% share of woman or 1.8% share of procedures = approximately $150 - $225 million annually
    3) Acne Scars: 3 million patients each received a treatment potential market is > $5 billion
    4) Restrictive Burn Scars: 25,000 patients = $100 - $150 million annually

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    • Blah, blah, blah..."
      1) Aesthetic Treatment: If each of the estimated 1.5 million current women were treated for one of the potential new areas > $3 billion market;..."

      Blah, blah, blah....
      "we buy companies for their potential prices, not for what is happening at the moment!"

      Blah, blah, blah...
      "I'm also figuring out that a stock scraping the bottom, with a bright future, is a no-braine.r buy opportunity"

      Blah, blah, blah... "They win approval for acne treatment and it will take off as a product."

      Blah, blah, blah... "Large Block Owners have accumulated 27M shares, out of the 70M"
      -(Truth FCSC: 177,000,000 shares; current float and; 95.5 Million for market cap valuation)

      Blah, blah, blah..."Remember fibrocell itself is rocket science..."
      "... this is a multibillion dollar company, time has just about run out to buy this stock, good luck to everyone, this stock price is a bargain and the big guys now control it..."
      (ROTFLMAO -: what a knee slapper!!!!)

      The "guru of inconsequence" strikes again... " i expect them to partner to handle the growth issues. Mkt cap will rapidly grow to about 2B, about $20/sh."
      - Blah, blah, blah... ad nauseam!

      The whole world is a circus; please don't YOU be the clown to follow these "Penny traders" into the "FCSC- Black Hole", my esteemed fellow investors... b

      Forewarned is fore-armed!

    • Cabin,

      My only issue with your rationale is the number of procedures per Dr. you are anticipating. 4 seems high for a daily average. I believe 1 is more in line.

      Let's be more conservative. So if 500 Doctors do just 20 procedures each in 2012- they can pull off 10K procedures (@ 4K) That's 40M in top line revenue in the first full year of operation.

      After that - mix in some other indications being approved (general wrinkles, acne scarring, burn victims) - and you have a tiger by the tail!!!

    • check the 6 Mo. chart and the A/D line, the top Large Block Owners have accumulated 27M shares, out of the 70M+ float(http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/FCSC/tab/8). true that funding dilution back around FDA approval has brought the share price down.

      Remember fibrocell itself is rocket science, but the doc procedure is not,so expect a rapid ramp up of revenue, for instance lets assume 500 docs(a small average # for this year) are initiating 4 procedures a day(samples from behind the ear sent to fibrocell for incubation). thats 2000 a day times 5 days times say 250 working days this year, or 2.5 million this year (an absolute minimum imho). now multiply by $3K. you guys play with the numbers but remember, docs will train docs and demand will probably exceed my estimates. limiting factor is probably laboratory capacity, note the multible job openings at their website,the downstream potential is even greater with additions of acme,burn victims, battlefield patch victims, etc., also incubation results in a 5-10 year supply, i.e., like a billion cells. suppose they successfully develop your own personal body cream(your weekly application packet is in the mail), anyway this is a multibillion dollar company, time has just about run out to buy this stock, good luck to everyone, this stock price is a bargain and the big guys now control it, until the Apr presentation. i expect them to partner to handle the growth issues. Mkt cap will rapidly grow to about 2B, about $20/sh.

    • so you are figuring out that its a big market and LaViv isn't getting any of it

 
FCSC
3.06+0.06(+2.00%)Aug 19 4:01 PMEDT

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