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The Walt Disney Company Message Board

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  • fimtinnegan fimtinnegan Jul 7, 2008 9:20 PM Flag

    DIsney Downgraded !!! Target 29 !!

    DIS has outperformed the S&P 500 for the last

    3 months
    6 months
    12 months
    2 years
    and
    5 years

    One analyst is a blip on the screen. The geniuses at Lehman would do better to downgrade their own stock, which was down NINE PERCENT today.

    Half the kids 2-10 years old in the First World will want to own a copy of Wall-E. They will not be pirating anything!

    Meanwhile, the merchandise is huge, and Disney owns the liscensing on dozens of properties that spin off real goods. You can't download a Hannah Montana doll.

    So maybe the parks make a few less dollars this year. In the long run, there's no competetition. For children, Disney is a pilgrimage, not just an amusement park. That's not going to change.

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    • >>>So maybe the parks make a few less dollars this year.>>>

      It is counter-intuitive to think that Disney parks can increase revenue in a recession. Most people think that Americans will travel less in general because of fuel costs, but Disney could actually thrive in this environment based on corresponding and underlying trends in this new oil dynamic that will offset the effect. DIS can do it for four main reasons. 1) Americans are vacationing less in other countries so more will choose to go to Disney. 2) Europeans are vacationing more in the US because of the widening exchange rates 3) Disney is good at forecasting the travel industry and can proactively adjust rates to maximize reservations 4) Disney still has more goodwill than all other parks.

 
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