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The Walt Disney Company Message Board

  • zipperouch_2001 zipperouch_2001 May 28, 2001 1:56 AM Flag

    DIS worth $24

    Needless to say, DIS is extremely overvalued right now with a PEG of 2.64, which is nearly twice that of AOL Time Warner's 1.42. (AOL is about fairly valued right now, incidentally.) But DIS is not alone amongst the entertainment stocks that are grossly overvalued. MGM's PEG is 4.69 and Viacom's is 5.48. A PEG of 1.50 is appropriate for all stocks right now. Just to illustrate further, both MGM and VIA's forward P/E's are higher than 100. The tech bubble people seem to have migrated into entertainment stocks lately. If you own any of these stocks, you should ABSOLUTELY sell on Tuesday. There's no upside to any of these stocks this year or even for the next few years. These stocks have 5-year EPS growth rates in the 15-20% range, not in the 40-50% range, so their fundamentals cannot possibly justify their current high PEG's.

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    • I live in Japan and there is a movement a-foot to boycott not only "Pearl Harbor" when it opens here but also Tokyo's Disneyland, which is Disney's busiest Disneyland. Japan is the #2 movie market in the world, and if you think any Japanese wants to give money to Disney to watch this movie, you're literally crazy. Bush wants the U.S. to have better relations with Japan (and downgrade US-China relations), but this movie has already hurt that effort.

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