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Beazer Homes USA Inc. Message Board

  • kamikazieee kamikazieee Dec 3, 2002 4:29 PM Flag

    Are NEW BZH orders DOWN?

    Someone tell me if awhat I think I see I see. Looks like pro-forma, the combimned Xmen & BZH new home orders are DOWN!!!!

    Is this possible?

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    • FWIW: those books deal w/ Intermediate term investing. of very little use to day traders.
      (which you don't want to be, anyway).
      Their strategy is to get a winner and ride it as long as it's winning. Sometimes for years.

    • Thanks Kami. Will buy those books right after market.

    • That said, message boards are excellent places to start.
      I don't like IBD.

      Suggest you buy Edwards&McGee's 'Techical Analysis..." book. A lot of the charts are old, but they make the point that its the same patterns. I still refer to my copy (5th edition, which I have had for 20 yrs), and find it invaluable. It focuses on the charts, only.
      No OBV, no MACD, no ST timing stuff- just shows you the diff between a good chart and a bad chart. Also Stan Weinstein's "The Professional Tape Reader" book is EXCELLENT. And cheaper. I assume he has a web site. He is a trend-follower, and has a simple way to look at the charts. Boith those books would HATE BZH, and love YHOO (as the chart currently sits).
      I mention YHOO becasue it was mentioned onthis board a couple of weeks ago.
      Expect weakness in BZH today. Major.

    • Thanks KB.

    • The orders show that BZH is on track to earn over $12/share this year, IMO. If you can't understand why a $61/share stock with that kind of earnings power is "undervalued", then you can't be helped. Wait until the actual earnings for fiscal 2003 are in place, before you start crowing. This is a stock for intelligent investors, not creepy daytraders like you. You bloodsucking slime will be slithering away soon enough. Enjoy your little "victory" while you can; you're still an ass and a loser. See you at $120 by the end of 2003.

      • 2 Replies to Alex1444
      • <<<The orders show that BZH is on track to earn over $12/share this year>>>

        SHORTY SEZ: Did you factor in declining orders?
        Not orders growing at a slower rate, but DECLINING orders? What about increase(s) in interest rates? Rising unemployment? These things MIGHT make your prediction a LITTLE high... remember your call for predictions about BZH earnings? I was at +/- $5/share.
        I am starting to worry that perhaps I was a little optimistic...
        SHORTY SEZ: Caution, gentleman, in all things.
        Oh, yeah, and if we "bloodsucking slime" "slither away," you should hope it's not with your money.

        SHORTY SEZ: I was STUNNED, STUNNED I tell you, to hear that new orders were DOWN. STUNNED.
        And the easiest thing in the world to do is cancel a new home order. (That is why they report "net" new orders). Perhaps they have taken all the $1.00 down ordes they can, and now must take them off the books or start to build them. (You know, make more "ModelHomes.")
        SHORY SEZ: GOod luck to all. Some will need it more than others, but unpleasentness and name calling is not productive.

      • Honey, did you really have to write:

        "You bloodsucking slime will be slithering away soon enough."

        Ya gotta love the alliteration, but I might have put it into modern verse, a la WC Williams' "variable foot" thusly:

        You bloodsucking slime
        will be slithering
        away soon enough.

        I think it's two syllables short of a haiku.

        By the way, I think we can safely add Kami and Shorty to Lexie's enemy list. Tant pis.


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