elmo wrote:" The play is coming their way down there - even Lang Haul backs me up on that - and I think they need to position themselves as having an attractive parcel of land to buy or partner up on."
You are sorts like cat urine....no matter how hard you scrub, you'll never be gone. I would not back you up, one because you are a blithering idiot, and two because that's false. While other companies are making wells in other parts of Erath County, there has been no good wells made in the acreage south of Hwy 377 and north of Hwy 67. This happens to be the exact place IFNY has acreage. They have goat pasture under lease, they won't make a consistent set of good wells out here, ever, because the reservoir isn't good enough. On one well they happen to hit a set of natural fractures, but its a crap shoot whether they can find a natural fracture system like that again. So far, IFNY has rolled the dice 24 times and come up lame on 23 of them.
In addition, the one fact you forgot is that they have already shopped this to everyone who would listen. Nobody bit the first time, and now IFNY has taken the "potential" value away by drilling 5 of the absolute worst wells in the whole county. It's kinda like trying to sell a used car that's belching smoke and stalling, and telling everyone its a gem. The idiots at IFNY should have never drilled those five wells, they should kept the "potential" tag out there.
No I won't back you, and never have. I think you have a tough time tieing your shoes in the morning and playing tennis without a helmet, let alone understanding oil and gas and what makes a play or an E&P company. Remember, IFNY is not running a stock, they are running a laughing stock.
[[While other companies are making wells in other parts of Erath County, there has been no good wells made in the acreage south of Hwy 377 and north of Hwy 67. This happens to be the exact place IFNY has acreage]]
IFNY's acreage is well south of both hwy's. EOG has made a couple of wells between 377 and 67 in eastern Erath. EOG's better wells are north of 377, and while they are decent wells, they are nothing like the wells further east into Hood and Johnson or Tarrant.
ch4_tycoon:"IFNY's acreage is well south of both hwy's. EOG has made a couple of wells between 377 and 67 in eastern Erath. "
Let me expound a little on what I said earlier. If you follow a map, take Hwy 377 out of Tolar toward stephenville, but where the highway juts SW, keep drawing a straight line. Now follow Hwy 67 as it exits Somervell county, and where it juts NW towards Stephenville, keep drawing a straight line. The two straight lines you have drawn will meet somewhere west of Stephenville, close to the Comanche/Erath border. This is the dead zone that I was refering to, and IFNY's acreage just happens to lie in the middle of it.
EOG has not made an economic well within that area. They have drilled 8 or 9, produced 7 or so, and they are all sub-economic. The reason that this is critical is that EOG is furthest along cracking the code in Erath county, as witnessed by their wells in the Morgan Mill Area and in the Houston Ranch area. And if they can not figure out how to make economic wells in the dead zone, IFNY has no shot, partner or not.
ch4_tycoon wrote:"while they are decent wells, they are nothing like the wells further east into Hood and Johnson or Tarrant."
EOG doesn't drill Tarrant County. But your assertion that the Erath County wells are not as good as Hood or Johnson are correct, but everybody knows that. You have to scale down your economic model to fit the reservoir. Erath county acreage, as a general assumption, is not as good as Hood county acreage, and Hood county acreage, as a general assumption, is not as good as Johnson County acreage. This assumption goes for XTO, KWK, EOG, etc. So given this undisputable fact, it is quite clear to all that IFNY, when faced with inferior acreage and their own latent inability to be successful, is looking up a wall they can not scale.
Just an opinion, of course....hey where'd that irrelevent and useless poster Bshort go? Haven't heard from him in a while. Maybe he's at the annual meeting of Kerr McGee Forced Retirees?