MACRO ECONOMICS , it all begins there ! . China is slowing down in housing , materials and labor will be next . Europe is on the verge of " flat lining " , we are at a topping out , prices are strangling the consumer . There will be an excess of supply once the other factors take hold here and abroad , abnormally warm weather . Combine that with the Oil producing countries lowering prices ( they can't use it ) they can't drink it either . It will be a while before this thing re-bounds . It will be an early " MAY " this year .