natural gas could power half the Class 8 trucks produced for the U.S. market by 2025.
ACT believes conditions are now right for natural
gas to become a serious contender for powering
on-highway heavy duty trucks for general freight
hauling. If this is correct, and if key factors maintain
their current favorable status, natural gas could
power half the Class 8 trucks produced for the U.S.
market by 2025.
CONCLUSION: Domestically sourced natural gas
will ultimately become the dominant source of
energy for the United States to include
transportation as the many factors associated with
this growth are resolved: technological, geological,
environmental, political, geopolitical and economic.
Energy independence will become one of the
driving forces as well as cost.
CONCLUSION: Total cost is the driver of
technology employed to achieve specified levels of
power and emissions. Periodically the factors
determining total costs of different strategies and
inputs require fundamental review of the
technology choice. The decline in the cost of
natural gas and new engine/vehicle offerings have
brought us to such a point. The industry is at the
front end of invention as it learns how to work
CONCLUSION: A number of factors favorable to a
substantial adoption of natural gas propulsion in
commercial trucks are in place.
CONCLUSION: The share of natural gas vehicles
will grow because of cost and environmental
advantages over diesel. Natural gas is a domestic
resource that could ultimately supply 100% of
transportation’s fuel needs. The transition from
diesel will be relatively easy and the same can be
said for dual fuel gasoline/NG. The adoption of
natural gas will be faster than the transition from
gasoline to diesel in commercial trucks. It is no
longer a question of using
cancerdotcom, the value of your quote depends on which ACT your quoting, Alternative Clean Transportation (ACT) is an advocacy group committed to the adoption of NG in the transportation industry, funded by the beneficiaries who will sell products to users.
ACT Research is a transportation industry research company frequently quoted by transportation publications among other users of their information
In either case, natural gas COULD power half the class 8 trucks, the question is will it and what needs to happen to make this a reality?
Chapter 7: ACT’S NG VEHICLE PENETRATION FORECASTS AND CALCULATORS
Page 127 • August 2012 • Americas Commercial Transportation Research Co., LLC• All Rights Reserved
Summary: Natural gas (NG) will take its place with
gasoline and diesel as the U.S.’s third motor
vehicle fuel, with about 1/3 of U.S. Class 8 vehicles
powered by NG in 2020, increasing to about 50%
NG penetration 5 years later. As this report is being
written, we are in a period where the necessary
preconditions are being put in place to escape a
‘chicken and the egg’ dilemma: Which comes first,
NG vehicles or NG fueling stations? We are
approaching point where for many truckers the cost
benefit analysis tips in favor of natural gas and
adoption will take off. A classic “S-curve” of new
technology adoption is anticipated (see page 126).