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Westport Innovations Inc. Message Board

  • cancerdotcom cancerdotcom Dec 26, 2013 5:39 PM Flag

    natural gas could power half the Class 8 trucks produced for the U.S. market by 2025.

    ACT believes conditions are now right for natural
    gas to become a serious contender for powering
    on-highway heavy duty trucks for general freight
    hauling. If this is correct, and if key factors maintain
    their current favorable status, natural gas could
    power half the Class 8 trucks produced for the U.S.
    market by 2025.

    CONCLUSION: Domestically sourced natural gas
    will ultimately become the dominant source of
    energy for the United States to include
    transportation as the many factors associated with
    this growth are resolved: technological, geological,
    environmental, political, geopolitical and economic.
    Energy independence will become one of the
    driving forces as well as cost.

    CONCLUSION: Total cost is the driver of
    technology employed to achieve specified levels of
    power and emissions. Periodically the factors
    determining total costs of different strategies and
    inputs require fundamental review of the
    technology choice. The decline in the cost of
    natural gas and new engine/vehicle offerings have
    brought us to such a point. The industry is at the
    front end of invention as it learns how to work

    CONCLUSION: A number of factors favorable to a
    substantial adoption of natural gas propulsion in
    commercial trucks are in place.

    CONCLUSION: The share of natural gas vehicles
    will grow because of cost and environmental
    advantages over diesel. Natural gas is a domestic
    resource that could ultimately supply 100% of
    transportation’s fuel needs. The transition from
    diesel will be relatively easy and the same can be
    said for dual fuel gasoline/NG. The adoption of
    natural gas will be faster than the transition from
    gasoline to diesel in commercial trucks. It is no
    longer a question of using

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    • cancerdotcom, the value of your quote depends on which ACT your quoting, Alternative Clean Transportation (ACT) is an advocacy group committed to the adoption of NG in the transportation industry, funded by the beneficiaries who will sell products to users.

      ACT Research is a transportation industry research company frequently quoted by transportation publications among other users of their information

      In either case, natural gas COULD power half the class 8 trucks, the question is will it and what needs to happen to make this a reality?

    • Chapter 7: ACT’S NG VEHICLE PENETRATION FORECASTS AND CALCULATORS

      Page 127 • August 2012 • Americas Commercial Transportation Research Co., LLC• All Rights Reserved

      Summary: Natural gas (NG) will take its place with
      gasoline and diesel as the U.S.’s third motor
      vehicle fuel, with about 1/3 of U.S. Class 8 vehicles
      powered by NG in 2020, increasing to about 50%
      NG penetration 5 years later. As this report is being
      written, we are in a period where the necessary
      preconditions are being put in place to escape a
      ‘chicken and the egg’ dilemma: Which comes first,
      NG vehicles or NG fueling stations? We are
      approaching point where for many truckers the cost
      benefit analysis tips in favor of natural gas and
      adoption will take off. A classic “S-curve” of new
      technology adoption is anticipated (see page 126).

 
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