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Alkermes plc Message Board

  • kathlenebradshaw kathlenebradshaw Oct 8, 2010 8:55 PM Flag

    Target $28 very doable here

    With patent-expiring, cash-rich, big-pharmas on a lookout for juicy candidates like ALKS these days, this $28++ target speculated here is indeed achievable in short order. Billionaires want to mostly bet on sure things; this is now as close to it as one can get!

    IMHO (Please do your thorough due-diligence): A possible scenario with which this can materialize now is as follows:
    Oct 11 - $17.50
    Oct 12 - $20.00
    Oct 13 - $21.50 (after street upgrades, target-raises etc., conservatively)

    Oct-end: $24 (pre-election market momentum, $-devaluation momentum ...etc.)

    Nov: Some big-pharma big-shot finally sees the light (and the pipeline / generic-techniques' potential), and makes a bid for the company for an enterprise-value north of 3B ... bingo... you have bettered your target by $2 and reached $30++!

    Also, take a look:

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      Hows that working out for you, Einstein securities analyst?


    • Let me guess .... you are long the shares?

      You are also long in years and getting senile. Put your teeth back in a get yourself some fiber.

      DD does not include forecasting price targets without revenue and earnings expectations for a scientific determination of a future price or using a dividend discount model which in this case would be worthless. Comparison to similiarly cap sized competitors maybe??

      But pre-electiobn market momentum and WTF is devaluation momentum? Are you talking about our currency?

      Dear lord, you need an education on security analysis and valuation metrics. I would not suggest a CFA or anything, but a good vanguard index fund would do you a lot better.

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