I disagree. I think the bump in dividend along with a special dividend suggests that earning are going to be good and that guidance is going to be really good. I think management is sending a signal and it will be positive.
do you honestly wholeheartedly feel that? are you 1000% sure HFC will go higher? If you feel that way totally, do the opposite. If you can, you will get rich in a hurry. I am trying to do just that. But it is hard.