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SciClone Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Message Board

  • lov2invest lov2invest Jan 8, 2000 2:53 PM Flag

    SCLN Valuation

    I currently have a small stake in SCLN and am
    looking to increase it, but I need some help from someone
    with more experience in biotech stocks than me. Can
    someone tell me how SCLN's current valuation compares to
    other biotechs with similar future prospects? It
    appears from reading other messages on this board that
    SCLN is undervalued based on future revenue potential.
    I guess what I'm asking is what is a fair price for
    SCLN currently and what is fair when they turn a
    profit later this year (as compared to similar
    biotechs)? Thank you.

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
    • All small biotechs like SCLN are great unknowns.
      Promising technology, but you never know what clinical
      trials will bring or whether competitors will have a
      superior product. I have been in SCLN since $2 and think
      it is a good speculative buy at its present

      Other biotechs to consider in the $2 - $7 price range
      much riskier but cheaper plays are ALTN, ASTM,

      All IMHO, do your own careful research first.

    • In My Opinion!!!!!

      SCLN is very
      undervalued. Do I have a quantitatively estimated fair price
      or target price? No.

      Uncertainties about
      Approvals, Competition, and other factors needed to
      calculate a risk adjusted PV of the company's future
      earnings, the timing of the earnings stream, etc. would
      require greater time and effort than I can

      My decision to be long this stock versus others is
      more subjective than that. Nonetheless it is my
      largest holding of a single equity, based upon my DD,
      risk tolerance, portfolio diversification,

      What do I think its worth? Right now, should be
      trading at $25.

      Good luck.


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