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VASCO Data Security International Inc. Message Board

  • mgm2020 mgm2020 Oct 11, 2012 12:09 PM Flag

    VDSI stock price pattern--more reason for optimism...

    Over the past few years, Vasco stock has tended to follow the same pattern of peaks ands troughs. The 3rd quarter has definitely been the low point every year, not only for the stock but also for company sales and revenue. BUT--the increase from the fall low to the high the next spring EVERY YEAR has been very dramatic. Here is how the stock traded since 2010:

    September 2010 low of roughly $6 to a high on 4/4/11 of $14.72---increase of 147%!!

    September 2011 low of $4.70 to the high on 3/26/2012 of $10.79--increase of 130%!!

    October 8, 2012 low of $6.51 to the high in the spring of 2013 of ?????

    I expect the sales and stock trend to continue this year, and with a similar increase the stock price will likely be in the $12-$14 range--and that is allowing for a smaller percentage increase than previous years. Look at the charts yourself. This is what has occurred each of the last 3 years---and there's no reason to believe it will not occur again. The global economy is very similar now to 2010, except the US is on the upswing and the Euro crisis is being actively dealt with. Look for a strong resurgence in the stock in the early part of 2013 into the spring. History loves to repeat itself in the stock market.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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VDSI
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