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ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. Message Board

  • cpasific cpasific May 2, 2013 12:59 PM Flag

    Buy out at $23 is the rumor !!!!! Jackpot here.

    3 upgrades already

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • Too cheap. I saw one net present value estimate of $17 today and that's not factoring in the upside for Alzheimer's or schizophrenia. Last year $60B in scripts were written for atypical antipsychotics. $23 can't come close to getting it done. My estimate for a price today would be $35-40. Once approval happens all bets are off. Sky becomes the limit...especially if Acadia generates positive Phase 2 results in Alzheimer's.

      The biggest decision faced by Acadia is label expansion via additional NDA's or just generating Phase 2 results and then allowing for off-label prescribing. I like the idea of slow and methodical label expansion. Why not fully develop pimavanserin which could very easily be the next risperidone...just better! All my opinion, but the pima results have been astounding. Acadia is just getting warmed up and I wouldn't even entertain offers under $35...and I don't believe that they will. After approval the upside is incredible. I will be holding and have been holding...and buying much more.

    • Cite source or pumper...

 
ACAD
17.55-0.68(-3.73%)Feb 11 4:00 PMEST