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First American Financial Corporation Message Board

  • hi_im_chad_from_florida hi_im_chad_from_florida Apr 8, 2004 6:07 PM Flag

    Is this stock starting to break

    DOWN???

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
    • I get the bad feeling it is.
      However, the statistics are soooooo good for this company, I don't see why it would
      go down much.
      The free cash flow is 1/3 of the total capitalization. This company is a terrific moneymaker.
      It's stock price just hasta go up.

      • 1 Reply to jbmjbmjbm01
      • There's a group of stocks -- including at least CFC/Countrywide, NDE/IndyMac, FIC/Fair Isaac, CD/Cendant and of course FAF -- that are being considered as PRIMARILY dependent on the housing cycle or on mortgage transaction volume. In reality, their dependencies vary from "almost none" to "a minority amount."

        Nevertheless, when the market perceives that long interest rates are threatening to change (in either direction), all these stocks get traded like junk bonds -- and thus punished when rates are supposed to rise.

        Since I've owned various members of this group at various times over the past 12 years or more, I can testify here that this falsely-analyzed vulnerability to supposed rate changes ALWAYS creates good buying opportunities. A stock like Countrywide trading under a trailing P/E of 7 is totally absurd, and FAF at this price is nearly as much so.

        No reason to get panicky. This quarter's earnings should create a different mood. For a preview, look at the March operational data that CFC will release in the next couple of business days; solid numbers on transactional volume and total funding will almost guarantee the whole sector will turn around.

    • The recent selling was due to employees receiving their profit sharing bonus in stock for 2003 at the end of March and selling all/part to restructure their retirement package.

      happydogx2

 
FAF
25.92-0.38(-1.44%)Apr 17 4:00 PMEDT

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