Not at all, stocks go up and down. Don't know how many bull markets you've experienced in an enviroment of rising interest rates but generally they don't last long. The yield on the DOW Industrials is 2.36% and the transportations yield is 1.04%. FDX at these levels pays a div yield of a TINY 0.33%. The stock has to correct or the yield has to rise to over at least 1.5%. If they don't raise dividends then a stock correction will have the same effect.
Agree with your numbers but estimates are just estimates. Those estimates would be based on a fuel that stays level or falls and continued strength in the economy. I'm looking for a slow down and level fuel which is why I see the stock as a sell. If you are looking for the $98 level that's a 3% gain but you can get 3% in safe bank mode or more if you check bond yields. Still see mid 80's as short term target.