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Celsion Corp. Message Board

  • daviscupper daviscupper Jan 23, 2013 3:03 AM Flag

    Statistical Analysis of the $500 Napa Valley Wine Contest.

    First off, the contest entry deadline was officially at 4:00 PM Eastern Time. However, since I did not make a last call until a moment before closing time there will be some leeway. In keeping with the finest traditions of barkeeps and police across this great country last call should be 10 minutes before official closing. So everyone that got their entry in before 4:10 PM was accepted.

    Officially, there were 149 certified entrants in the contest.

    Estimates for the Date of Phase III results are as follows:
    The earliest date was today, 1/22/2013.
    The last date was 2/11/2013.
    The average date was 1/26/2013
    The median date was 1/25/2013
    The most popular date picked was 1/28/2013, 42 people picked that date.

    The average estimate for PFS (control) = 13.62 months.

    The average estimate for PFS (treatment) = 30.28 months.

    The average high of day share price = $21.75

    Last note: All those that got their estimates in after 4:10 PM will not be participating in the main contest; however, there will be a mini-contest for you. The person who comes closest to the high of the day share price on the day Phase III results are released will receive a Napa Valley cabernet sauvignon wine. A bottle of Robert Mondavi's 2007 cabernet. However, there is an additional caveat. You must also be within $2.00 of the actual high share price to win a bottle. It is tougher, I know, but there are fewer of you and you also did not follow the rules. Good luck.

    Incidentally this mini-contest is closed as of right now. No more entrants are allowed.

    Cheers.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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