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Facebook, Inc. (FB) Message Board

  • carson5016 carson5016 Oct 29, 2012 11:38 AM Flag

    what if i gave you 25,000 shares

    imagine you worked at facebook for 3 years and were given 25,000 shares a year as payment. not able to sell a single share until full vestment happened, which was oct 25 by the way, and all that time you've been working hard for next to no money but the hopes that when that perfect day happens, you'll be alright. So if hypothetical employee gets 75,000 shares for 3 years of payment and it gets vested at the price of $23.93, (actual price vested) he's made $1,794,750 over 3 years.

    But by getting all those stocks, whats he made in the mean time? Is he/she swimming in debt? Are they still stuck at mom and dads? Bumming off friends? Seeing the sweet life that zuck leads and knowing theirs is only days away....

    These stocks were RSUs, not bonuses. This is the employees main income. This is what they've been dreaming about for years. And this is the first of 3 lockups, moved up by zuck and his minions so that the employees would at least get out before all the vc's do.

    So if you're an employee who was made a millionaire as of last week, and you see you get the first swing at the pinata before 1.1 billion more shares gets a shot after you, why would you hold through? This isn't a union. This isn't a club. It's their livelihood. I'm not saying they won't sell half hold half. I'm not saying they won't sell all and rebuy in after the lockups all expire.

    But seeing YELPs one time lockup (not 5 like facebook) work out for the stock has blinded way too many people. Did you all forget znga angi grpn right before yelp? Did you all forget that facebook has so many shares they had to do FIVE DIFFERENT LOCKUPS INSTEAD OF ONE?!?!

    And NO ONE THINKS ITS STRANGE HOW EARNINGS POP A STOCK 4 DAYS BEFORE A LOCKUP? DID ANYONE EVEN LOOK AT FACEBOOK LAST LOCKUP? THEY POPPED IT UP 2 DAYS BEFORE TO DROP IT BACK DOWN!

    It's obvious I'm short. And I wish both sides the best, this is a zero sum game. If i win you lose and vice versa. But pleast don't think if it falls this time you'll be alright in 2 weeks when the bigger lockup hits you. This is just the first of 4 more punches. And this is the one where the poor people get to be rich, not the rich vc guys dumping. No one holds onto their whole nest egg in one company, too many people watched enron people with enron stock get destroyed. Financial advisors have changed. And if 1,000 people just became instant millionaires, I assure you a good portion got financial advisors.

    If your short, look for a shakeout because its too obvious to short.

    If your long, don't get left holding the bag if the shakeout doesn't end. This isn't the end of the tunnel, you just reached the entrance.

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