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Facebook, Inc. (FB) Message Board

  • wise4us wise4us Jan 28, 2013 10:29 AM Flag

    Will FB earnings be good or a "blow out"?

    Its one or the other since the stock is going up 2%b daily now. Such strength just two days before earnings's report tells me (and the market) that FB will not only beat earning projections, but far exceed what analysts expected. Buying in now offers little risk since FB is growing, projected to bring in higher earnings and planing to do more deals. Could be last time Under $40 by Wednesday. Then we set out sights on higher numbers.

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    • In all honesty, it is hard to know what FB will report. I think there are a lot of people chomping at the bit right now and there is a lot of anticipation for a great earnings. The anticipation really means nothing in a blind event. Most big investors do not invest in earnings. I am not saying they are going to miss but I am also not going to say that they will meet or beat.

      One thing I can say is that they need to beat by a high margin to keep up with the current expectations going into earnings. If they do the stock will do well

      $38.00 is going to be a very hard level to cross. Unless something extremely amazing happens it will take awhile to get into the 40's. It wont go on penny beat. It will capitulate on a miss and could still drop on a meet.

      I am not saying this to be bearish but there are a lot of people betting on far otm calls and looking to win the lottery. If someone wants to trade, they will do much better if they wait until after earnings. It is just a warning and there will be a lot of people who spend their rent money and everything they own betting on a large move. Quite frankly betting either way is not smart in my opinion.

    • Question to ask is whether the current run up already includes blow out earnings.

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