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Facebook, Inc. (FB) Message Board

  • ciitation ciitation Mar 30, 2013 1:01 PM Flag

    Wow, No one is negative with this stock on this board... 22 by earnings

    Everyone is so bullish on this stock, unreal. Short this pig. This stock went down 5 straight days when market is making new highs and allot of clowns calling for 34 by earnings,lol. I say 22 by earnings..

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    • If the H&S pattern was going to be realized it would have done so this week. Next week FB is likely going to get a bounce from its Android announcement, and then we are out of tax season and into earnings.

      If this were a true H&S with a mature stock without a story or artificial factors distorting the stock, we could have seen $22.

      But this is FB. This is a story stock, pure and simple, not a mature, value, Graham stock that can be assessed using tech analysis or graham numbers. FB is already wildly distorted by the prior terrible guidance, indifferent investor relations at HQ and thru the CEO and COO, wild overbashing due to intrinsic hatred of the company, and over hype in general.

      FB previously bottomed before at $18, and I believe we have now cratered at $25. Previously the stock ran up from $18 to $28. This should happen again if FB executes well before and thru earnings. The IPO price should be regained in the next 10 weeks as long as FB doesn't continue to push away investors.

      It is in FB's long term interest to get back to $35 in May. Too many angry investors can be easily mollified after the disastrous PR from the IPO. It makes no sense for HQ to let the stock price twist in the wind at the one year anniversary of the IPO. The folks counseling Zuck will probably tell him to at least say one positive thing at that time which should push the stock back towards the IPO price. If there are any smart people left at FB who aren't subsumed by FB groupthink.

      Sentiment: Buy

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