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HYTHIAM INC Message Board

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  • juryman07 juryman07 Jan 7, 2007 7:06 AM Flag

    Anaylst coverage

    Most biotechs and speculative stocks require an
    investor to look ahead farther than a single year.
    This company has lots of, (NO, tremendous) potential,
    given how dreadful and how widespread are the addictions
    it adreses. With more trial-successes and publicity, its
    drugs with take off ballistically. The potential is
    certainly there for the stocks to quadruple a year after
    it hits the jackpot and has its lead drug be the recipient
    of wild. well-earned and enthusiastic praise. What are the
    odds of this happening? I would day 60%. SO if there is a 60% chance for the stocks to quadruple and a 40% chance for the stock to drop back to $2, that translates to a stock
    reaching $32! I am long and quite comfortable with the match!

    • Looking ahead 3 years:

      Assume sales of $100,000,000/yr and after tax profit of 10% or $10,000,000.

      Assume this can be acheived without further dilution.

      This will translate to $0.25/share.

      Assume a generous multiplier of 25.

      The stock will then be at $6.25/share (in three years)

 
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