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Time Warner Inc. Message Board

  • grateful4dell grateful4dell Apr 20, 1999 2:28 AM Flag

    more blood tomorrow

    look at the 12 month chart with the moving
    averages. AOL has met its 50 day average and is going to
    break through it. My TA indicates at least four more
    days of declines. Not as deep as today, but this
    overpriced POS (piece of stock) is headed for the two digit
    zone. Save your money and buy cheap. If it breaks
    through the 200 day moving average, you may be able to
    get it for 70.

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
    • Fidelity Fifty Goes Wired
      Fidelity Fifty has
      been soaring, up 30% through last week, ever since
      John Muresianu took over as manager in January.
      Everyone believed the portfolio had been restocked with
      Internet stocks and now the proof is in.
      The fund's
      top 10 holdings in order, as disclosed by Fidelity
      last week: American Online, Amazon.com, Schlumberger
      (SLB:NYSE), Microsoft (MSFT:Nasdaq), Yahoo!, @Home
      (ATHM:Nasdaq), eBay (EBAY:Nasdaq), Merrill Lynch (MER:NYSE),
      Sepracor (SEPR:Nasdaq) and MCI WorldCom (WCOM:Nasdaq).

      • 1 Reply to timwolf99
      • The Essex High Technology fund, up 120% last
        year, gained 52.8% after expenses during the first
        quarter of 1999. The Permal Media and Communications
        fund, up 72% last year, advanced 32.6% after expenses
        in the first three months of this year.


        McNay also shies away from detailed conversation about
        the Internet stocks in his portfolios, but public
        filings for the end of 1998 are a good indication of
        Essex's core Web holdings. CMGI (CMGI:Nasdaq) was by far
        the firm's largest single holding, worth $489 million
        at year-end. Amazon.com (AMZN:Nasdaq) and America
        Online (AOL:NYSE) were second and third.

    • ????

    • I see I'm not the only one who can't sleep. Don't
      get me wrong, I'm long on AOL. How could I bad mouth
      a stock that gave me a 300% return on my initial
      investment? AOL will bounce back (it always does).
      Unfortunately, I also own PRGY and FLAS. Just bought an
      additional 200 shares of FLAS a few days ago at 45 (my first
      time buying on margin). Now it's 29. The entire
      internet service provider group got hammered the last few
      days. I'm still shell shocked.

      What gives? Two
      weeks ago, this sector was flying high. Was there a
      single event that set off this bloodbath? I thought CPQ
      would have tanked the market a week ago, but it didn't.
      At least not last Monday...

      I don't want to
      panic, but quite honestly, my trading days are numbered
      if we take another brutal pounding this morning. I'm
      just trying to understand.

    • http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/990416/du.html

      Is
      the trend turning away from super high valuations of
      the
      internet? Maybe future earnings are
      unrealistic or too far in
      the future to support a 600
      P/E?

    • every three months.

    • "...

      Frankly, this may be a time risk
      adverse traders might want to sit out. It is a little
      hard to believe that cyclicals can make much of a
      long-term run. After all, the impression that European
      economies will pick up is still just an impression, and
      Japan is indeed in recession. So, this fashion with
      cyclicals may be short-lived. Or it may continue. Tech
      stocks, meanwhile, are likely to bounce back fairly soon.
      But that down side risk is
      significant, and some
      traders may be feeling real pain for the first time. Fear
      could turn to panic, at least for a while. Activity is
      likely to remain extremely volatile. As we said a few
      days ago, it would not surprise us to see the market
      surge another 20% because there is still plenty of
      speculative money running around out there. It is also
      possible to see a sharp correction. Patience can be a
      virtue. Traders should recognize that it isn't necessary
      to try to make a fortune every single day. ..."

    • There are some who said they felt the internet
      stocks were
      AOL, ATHM, AMZN were way too high even if
      you calculate
      their future growth. I don't know if
      anyone has the answer to
      your question. Folks had
      better hope that the whole market
      does start any
      backwards momentum. I also earlier thought AOL
      might be
      low but if you really think about it, AOL has only
      given back about 5 weeks of gains. Realistically
      AOL
      can easily give back another 30 points and not be
      oversold.

    • .... horseless carriage of yours is pretty neat!
      But I'm afraid I just can't risk any of my hard
      earned money to back you. I mean, c'mon! Where are you
      going to use it? There's no roads that are smooth
      enough to run it... There's no place to go in it if
      there were, no place to stay when you get there and no
      place to get gas for it on the way... No... I'm
      sorry... I'm afraid this is just a "novelty"...

    • There are some who said they felt the internet
      stocks were
      AOL, ATHM, AMZN were way too high even if
      you calculate
      their future growth. I don't know if
      anyone has the answer to
      your question. Folks had
      better hope that the whole market
      does start any
      backwards momentum. I also earlier thought ATHM
      might be
      low but if you really think about it, ATHM has only
      given back about 6 weeks of gains. Realistically
      ATHM
      can easily give back another 20 points and not be
      oversold by much.

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