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Time Warner Inc. Message Board

  • Miles_miles_to_go_before_I_sleep Miles_miles_to_go_before_I_sleep Jul 21, 1999 12:49 AM Flag

    AOL $145 by Friday, $165 next week.

     

    With lots of good news, and earnings report soon,
    expect AOL to be in $160's range in 2 weeks.

    P.S.

    1. Reuters news says "U.S. localities back open
    cable internet"
    2. AOL is in talk about cable with
    ATHM.

    Thus, AOL is in very strong position to negotiate with
    ATHM & T. Since U.S. localities favor open cable
    anyway, AOL will surely reach a cable deal soon.

    This topic is deleted.
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    • Bloomberg News
      Jul 20 1999 8:27AM ET

      America Online 4th-Qtr Profit Seen Rising on Ad Gains

      Dulles, Virginia, July 20 (Bloomberg) -- America Online
      Inc., the world's largest Internet service, is expected
      to post higher fiscal fourth-quarter profit as a
      surge in advertising and almost 1 million new
      subscribers boost revenue. Profit is forecast to be 11 cents
      a share, the average estimate of analysts surveyed
      by First Call Corp. The so-called whisper number,
      the latest unpublished forecasts, is 13 cents. AOL
      had a pro forma profit of $9 million, or 1 cent, a
      year ago. Revenue is expected to rise to $1.3 billion
      from $941 million. America Online has become
      synonymous with getting on the Internet to many consumers,
      helping it gain more new customers that its rivals.
      That's allowed it to forge lucrative marketing
      agreements with companies that want to sell goods and
      services to AOL's more than 17 million users. ``These
      advertising dollars carry huge profit margins,'' said
      Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. analyst Youssef Squali, who rates
      AOL a ``strong buy.'' ``We're talking 80 percent''
      margins. Still, subscriber gains are typically slow in the
      quarter in part because consumers spend less time
      shopping indoors during the summer months. ``The summer is
      part of it, and there may be a certain amount of
      slowdown due to the PC sales slowdown,'' said Squali.
      Dulles, Virginia-based AOL is expected to have gained
      about 800,000 subscribers during the quarter, a 20
      percent increase from the year earlier. It signed up
      about 1.8 million customers in the previous quarter,
      when many consumers signed up for the service after
      purchasing low-cost personal computers over the holiday
      season.Revenue from subscribers should account for about $930
      million of the company's revenue, analysts said. AOL is
      expected to release its results for the quarter ended June
      30 on Wednesday. The year-ago results will be stated
      as if the its $10.2 billion acquisition of Netscape
      Communications Corp. in March had taken place. It doesn't
      include AOL's acquisitions of closely held companies
      Spinner Networks Inc., Nullsoft Inc. and When
      Inc.Advertising, E-Commerce America Online is expected to report
      its revenue from e-commerce and advertising more than
      tripled to about $300 million from $83.1 million. ``They
      have this subscriber base they can leverage, that they
      can sell advertising,'' said Squali. It has used that
      to its advantage. America Online signed scores of
      large advertising agreements with companies that span
      several years. In February, for example, it said it
      signed a five- year agreement worth up to $500 million
      market credit cards with Bank One Corp.'s First USA unit
      to AOL subscribers. AOL said its backlog of
      advertising and e-commerce revenue was $1.3 billion at the
      end of March. The backlog represents the revenue that
      AOL expects to record in future quarters from its
      multiyear agreements. The company has sought to increase
      its revenue from marketing alliances and electronic
      commerce since it shifted to a flat-rate subscription in
      1996.Broadband, Rebates Even with the large advertising revenue
      backlog, the company's shares have slumped about 22
      percent since it disclosed third-quarters results, in
      part on concern about increased competition from
      rivals such as Excite At Home Corp., which provides
      Internet services through high-speed cable lines. Still,
      AOL has been preparing for competition. The company
      is betting that at two rival high-speed Internet
      technologies, one using phone lines and the other using
      satellites, might prove more popular with subscribers than
      cable. AOL has said it would start the high-speed
      service over phone lines, called Digital Subscriber
      Lines, sometime this summer. The service should cost
      about $40 a month, about equal to what cable-Internet
      companies charge.

    • Anyone take notice how close the prices of aol & ebay have been trading at lately?

 
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